Risk evaluation of vitamin D insufficiency or deficiency in children using simple scores: The Healthy Growth Study

Abstract

Although identification of population groups at high risk for low vitamin D status is of public health importance,there are no risk prediction tools available for children in Southern Europe that can cover this need. The present study aimed to develop and validate 2 simple scores that evaluate the risk for vitamin D insufficiency or deficiency in children. A cross-sectional epidemiological study was conducted among 2280 schoolchildren (9–13-year-old) living in Greece. The total sample was randomly divided into 2 subsamples of 1524 and 756 children, used in the development and validation of the 2 scores, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to develop the 2 risk evaluation scores, while receiver operating characteristic curves were employed to identify the optimal “points of change” for each risk score, upon which vitamin D insufficiency and deficiency is diagnosed with the highest possible sensitivity and specificity. The components of the 2 risk evaluation scores included children's age, gender, region of residence, screen-time, body weight status, maternal education, and season. The increase in each score by 1 unit elevated the likelihood for vitamin D insufficiency and deficiency by 31% and 28%, respectively. The receiver operating characteristic curves showed that the optimal “points of change” for each risk score, upon which vitamin D insufficiency or deficiency is diagnosed with the highest possible sensitivity and specificity were 8.5 and 12.5, respectively. In conclusion, this study developed 2 simple scores that evaluate the risk for vitamin D insufficiency or deficiency in children living in Greece. However, more studies are required for these scores to be validated in other populations of children from different countries. © 2020