Determining the tourism developmental dynamics of the greek regions, by using talc theory

Abstract

This paper utilizes the theoretical framework of the Tourism Area Life Cycle (TALC) model and applies an empirical analysis on the data for the period 1980-2009. The TALC multi-stage process is simulated to a logistic curve and thus it obtains a characteristic growth coefficient r(t) expressing its time duration. This study considers three versions for the logistic growth coefficient and presents the spatial distribution of each coefficient on the Greek interregional map. This approach allows to distinguish the regions that they have reached their tourism developmental capabilities faster than the others and to distinguish these that are still capable for further development. The overall treatment provides the developmental potentials of each Greek prefecture and elects some interesting issues for the tourism policy making in Greece. © University of the Aegean.